Not much to add to yesterday's post by Jeff - the forecast still anticipates very warm temperatures over the weekend with highs in the mid-40s at even the highest ski areas. Westerly winds on Saturday will gust over 40mph on ridgelines, making for a relatively underwhelming skiing experience as the surface melts quite quickly even through the overnight hours. Through Monday, expect the snowpack to continue to diminish as temperatures struggle to get below freezing.
The GFS likes a few inches of snow falling (perhaps starting as rain at some low-elevation bases) Tuesday through the overnight hours, but we are likely to be on the southern edge of the moisture, resulting in a feast or famine scenario looking this far out (some model runs have us getting no precipitation at all). Keep an eye on the blog for better guidance through the weekend.
Looking farther out we expect renewed ridging through the end of next week, although we are not currently anticipating temperatures reaching quite the heights they will this weekend. Another system is projected for a week from Monday, perhaps more dynamically impressive than we've seen recently...but that's looking pretty far out.
Well nothing new to report today. Still expecting very warm and dry conditions this weekend. Unfortunately I dont think the skiing will be very good because the new snow will just turn to slush and there won't be any corn. It will be also be quite windy.
The models are hinting at a cooler and more active pattern next week, especially to our north. Perhaps we will get a little snow out of this change, but nothing major.
Overall I am pretty pessimistic as we head into the bottom of the 9th of the ski season. No big storms on the horizon and nothing to suggest big storms will come in April (also nothing to suggest they won't come except of course, persistence). Looks like we are going to lose this one.
On a side note, I went backcountry skiing last night and was amazed at how good the skiing was. Hopefully many of you were able to enjoy this past storm since maybe it was our last...
As promised, the Wasatch got a little coating of snow to freshen things up! The relatively high density of the new snow helped keep skis from hitting the crusty bottom too badly, and from what I hear there were some good turns to be had out there.
I hope you all got to enjoy it, though, because we are going to be shifting right back into our default setting for this winter: warm, dry, and sunny. The warming trend is underway, and highs on Saturday will be in the 50s at most mid-mountain locations. This will be the day to bust out the shorts and t-shirts if you go up. Sunday will be slightly cooler with some clouds around, so Saturday will be the best day to ski.
There is a chance next week that we will get clipped by a few storms passing to our north, but temperatures will remain warm, and I don't see these producing much in the way of snow. I wouldn't count on too much more snow to close out the month of March. With that said you may want to ski a fair amount these next few weeks, because unless the pattern changes drastically, the snow may not be sticking around too much longer on the sunnier slopes.
Today the Cottonwoods saw 5" - 6" of new snow in two main bursts, about 3" in the morning and about 3" more after lifts stopped running. Tomorrow there is a chance for 3" - 6" more, but it will likely also come in a multiple burst structure, starting after 12 pm with perhaps the second burst again after lifts close. Tomorrow or Wednesday will be good days to ski a lot of areas, although the risk of hitting crust will be high so be careful. It probably won't seem deep unless you find some really untouched areas. But since we've seen about 6" already I can up tighten our Monday to Wednesday storm total estimate to 9" - 12" for the high elevations, 6" - 9" lower in the mountains.
Skies should clear Wednesday night with the start of another warming trend. Thursday - Saturday should be warm sunny spring skiing days, it will be nice as the new snow corns up. The snow is already melting fast, with this record breaking warm year the number of days left in the season is ticking down. Get out there!
So far so good on the current storm. By 9:30 Monday morning there have been 3 inches of snow reported in the Cottonwoods with a snow level around 7500'. Other areas have gotten a trace-2 inches. Snow will continue for most of the day today before tapering off in the evening. After a break, another weak trough will push into Northern Utah Tuesday afternoon and evening. Freezing levels will be between 6000-6500' for the most part. Including what has fallen so far, it is looking like most areas will see 3-8 inches by Wednesday morning. High elevations, particularly in the Cottonwoods, will see 6-12".
If you want to ski, you might want to make plans for Tuesday afternoon or Wednesday morning. You better take advantage of it, because it looks like we will be high and dry the rest of the week with May-like temps returning.