Cold Weekend Ahead

Posted Friday, December 27th, 2019 by Trent S. Parker

TL;DR: Single digit (F) and blustery ski day Saturday morning with a chance for a couple snow showers in the Wasatch through Sunday totaling 1-3 inches. The next chance for real precipitation comes Tuesday on the back end of a cutoff low that is set to impact south of Utah. If you have the chance to chase to (or are already there for the Holidays) Arizona, New Mexico, or SW Colorado, there should be some excellent snow.

SREF plumes courtesy of weather.utah.edu for Arizona Snowbowl north of Flagstaff. A sure sign of a deep day given how much snow they’ve gotten already recently. Many places around the 4 corners should see significant accumulation this weekend and into this coming week.

Short Term: The past couple days have treated skiers and riders well with our midweek storm that gave us a couple inches every day and held up snow totals as listed below.

“23 – Brian Head

“16 – Alta/Brighton

“9 – Snowbasin

Saturday morning in the Wasatch will be a cold one with temperatures in the single digits (F) and breezy NW winds ushering some snow showers through the day into Sunday. Total accumulations from this feature seem light, in the 1-3 inch range by Monday morning, and while it won’t be a blockbuster storm, every inch counts and the surface conditions should be excellent if you’re willing to brave the cold.

Long Term: Our next chance for real snow may be arriving for New Years day with no real estimates yet on how much it can produce for us.

GEFS spaghetti plots courtesy of ESRL.noaa.gov showing the progression and uncertainty of the track of this shortwave feature that develops into a cut-off low and passes to our south through NYE.
The GFS Integrated Vertical Transport shot helping indicate our next chance of snow starting New Years Day. Courtesy of the Center For Western Weather and Water Extremes and NOAA/NCEP.

There’s seemingly some more light at the end of the tunnel (a week + out) with ensembles showing a favorable setup for the first weekend of the New Year. Stay tuned as we should start to learn more about both the midweek and first-weekend features within the next couple days.

Cheers to new snow and enjoy the rest of the Holidays!

-Trent S. Parker

Author: Trent S. Parker

Mainer, busybody skier-rider, and undergrad Atmospheric Sciences at the U. Fascinated by all things fluid dynamics and snow.

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