Dry til Sunday

Posted Thursday, March 5th, 2020 by Taylor McCorkle

TL;DR: High pressure dominates through Saturday – our next disturbance arrives late Saturday into Sunday.

Since we are still several days out from our next chance of precipitation, this forecast will gloss over the details and also get into some other aspects of Utah Ski Weather.

The past few weeks have been miserably dry. So, what does that mean for the state of our snowpack? Check out this daily snow water equivalent percent of normal graphic from the NRCS

https://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/ftpref/gis/images/ut_swepctnormal_update.png

Despite our dry spell, much of Utah is either within the normal SWE range for this date, or even a bit above normal. The only area that is slightly below normal is the Beaver River basin area.

In terms of base depth, resorts like Snowbird in Little Cottonwood Canyon are currently reporting 119″, and nearly 450″ on the season. Not bad! The next few days in the Wasatch will be warm and bluebird. Saturday will begin the transition to a storm day with a cloud deck likely and switch to a southwesterly flow regime.

Here’s the current satellite imagery from GOES West – You can see a ridge and cloud free area over the Western US and a trough that is currently situated south of the Gulf of Alaska.
Unrelated to Utah weather, but looking at the satellite imagery, some interesting stratocumulus can be seen off the coast of the PNW. You can keep up with the latest satellite imagery by checking out https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/

Looking ahead to the weekend, here’s what the ensembles are predicting for future snow accumulations at Alta Collins

NAEFS ensemble forecast for Alta Collins – weather.utah.edu

Obviously over the next few days, this can and will change, so check back every day for an updated forecast!

Enjoy the beautiful weather!

-Taylor

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