Mild Monday

Posted Monday, February 22nd, 2021 by Jackson Sponaugle

TLDR: Mild mountain weather today before a brief storm passage on Wednesday. There is a potential for a more significant storm this weekend as Utah sits under an active pattern for the long term.

Nowcast: Stratus clouds cover most of the SLC valley, while the ski resorts are under lingering scattered clouds as the sun rises this morning. Temperatures are currently in the mid teens and will heat to the 20s this afternoon with light winds throughout. It looks like it will be a nice day to be on the mountain. Here is a current look at Alta:

Short-Term Forecast: Later today, the sun should help dissipate stratus clouds in the valley and resorts, giving way to clear skies. Tomorrow looks to be a bit colder than today with some scattered clouds that could produce flurries at times in the central Wasatch, but no accumulations are expected. This brief frontal passage lacks moisture. A brief weak trough breaks through the building ridge on Wednesday (depicted below). Wednesday will be a light dusting in the central Wasatch of about 2 inches if we are lucky. This system will increase cloud cover and winds slightly, but will dissipate quickly. Right now, Thursday looks to be a mild day on the mountains before yet another deep trough moves into the forecast area.

Long-Term Forecast: At this point, the models are in good agreement that there will be a storm this weekend. They do not agree on the strength. The upper end of the models show around a foot of snow Friday into Saturday, and the lower end shows half of that. The good news is that we are continuing to see an active pattern in the long term. For now there is no major ridges or pattern shifts on the horizon. We will need to see how the models align later in the week for the coming storm. A side not: Alta has recorded the best snow totals in ten years for the month of February. For now, keep your fingers crossed and skis pointed downhill.


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