Ready for the Weekend

Posted Friday, February 19th, 2021 by Corey Bois

TL;DR: Additional snow on it’s way tonight, followed by more accumulation Saturday night into Sunday. Fair weather is briefly expected early next week.

I wish I could be typing this out on a phone screen from a chairlift, or at the very least in a car 1/1,000,000 of the way up UT-210. Alas, here I am in the comfort of home.

Nowcast: This morning had low level stratiform cloud coverage that has been clearing up to deliver some sunshine as the day progresses. Base temps are in the upper 20’s and decrease to the upper teens at the ridgelines. Snow showers may lead to some light accumulation throughout the day with mid-mountain winds ranging from 15-25 mph from the WNW.

Above you can see difference that the past 19 days has made by comparing the current year’s SWE to the 30 year median (1981-2010). The Provo-Utah-Jordan area saw an increase from 63% to 79% of normal SWE. Not only is this good for skiing, but also from a water resources perspective.

Short-Term Forecast: Are you sick of it snowing? Good, because forecasts are showing another 3-5″ beginning tonight and into Saturday Morning from a fast moving storm. Below are plume forecasts for Brighton. Additional accumulation is expected Saturday afternoon and into Sunday as there will be a northwesterly flow across Northern Utah.

http://weather.utah.edu

Long-Term Forecast: A ridge will make it’s way across Utah towards the end of the weekend/Monday, bringing along drier conditions and some sunshine (displayed below). However, another storm cycle is on the horizon for next Tuesday/Wednesday, so stay posted.

GEFS 500mb Anomaly valid Monday, Feb. 22 11am (tropicaltidbits.com)

-Corey

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