Relatively Quiet, for Now

Posted Saturday, February 20th, 2021 by Nathan Tarino

TL;DR: A few snow showers tomorrow with limited accumulations. A quick burst of snow possible with a cold front on Tuesday, but even with some snow showers through Wednesday real pow skiing is unlikely. There is reason to be hopeful for deep-ish snow next weekend and beyond.

Nowcast: Snow associated with this morning’s cold frontal passage produced generally lackluster totals, <5″ across the Wasatch. That’s not so bad, as it fell on 30-70″ of new snow from last week. Riding conditions are holding at fantastic though the fresh snow was mostly tracked up by closing time today.

Short Term: We’ll see a short break from snow on Monday as a flat ridge builds across the Great Basin. Some snow is possible on Tuesday, when an upper trough and associated cold front pass through. This storm is pretty parched for moisture, and the best dynamics associated with this storm will miss us to the north, so I expect a quick burst of snow midday Tuesday and little else. A follow up wave will support a period of snow Wednesday morning in a moist and unstable west-northwesterly flow, but again, accumulations will be light. I expect 2-4″ for Northern Utah resorts from this duo of disturbances. Modest, but much better than 0″.

Long Range: Next chance for real snow arrives as we head into next weekend. Another pair of disturbances will arrive beginning Friday, the second prolonging snow chances through the weekend. It’s too far out to get excited just yet, but you can safely expect to see accumulating snow falling around next weekend.

NAEFS plumes for the week ahead. A little snow midweek, then potentially good skiing again next weekend.
Courtesy of the University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences.

Let’s hope for the best. Have a great week!

-Nathan

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