Snow on the Horizon

Posted Monday, March 8th, 2021 by Pauline Kneller

TL;DR: It will be partly cloudy and windy today on the slopes. High chance of light snowfall tonight. Snow expected on an off throughout the week.

Nowcast: It’s been a dry, sunny, and warm weekend that hardened up the snow on Utah slopes. Continuing the trend into the start of this week, today will be mostly sunny and quite warm, with highs in the high 40s. Strong southwesterly winds will persist throughout the day, around 20-30 mph winds on the ridgelines with gusts 30-50 range.

Snowbird cam at Hidden Peak showing packed snow and partly cloudy skies. Some fun altostratus cloud shapes seen to the left of Twin Peaks. Courtesy of snowbird.com

Short-term Forecast: The conditions have been leaving us high and dry recently, but we will see a more active pattern this week, beginning tonight. The models are showing moisture on the leading end of a trough that dig into northern Utah this evening from the west southwest. Expect to see some precipitation tonight, rain in the valley and about 2-3” of dust on the crust tonight. We will see a break in precipitation throughout most of Tuesday, but chance of precipitation again on Tuesday night. Temperatures will drop to mid-teens tonight and will hold in the mid-twenties in the Cottonwoods, and low thirties in in Park City throughout Tuesday.

A shortwave trough is shown to be centered over Utah tomorrow night. Paired with some moisture and atmospheric instability, snow showers will occur across the Wasatch on Tuesday night, and will start to be seen in Southern Utah mountains starting on Wednesday. Courtesy of weatherbell.com

Mid-range Forecast: More weather expected on Wednesday afternoon as the leading edge of the trough persists over Utah as it deepens and ejects to the southwest off the mean flow later this week. The mountains should see more snowfall starting on Thursday. There’s chance it will continue into the weekend. Temperatures should stay cool throughout the week, mid-teens at night, and mid-twenties throughout the day.

Snow totals: Though models are in disagreement on snow amounts, a small storm tonight should bring about 2-3” of snowfall, while another 3” expected to fall on Tuesday night. Snowfall expected on Thursday and chance on Friday.

Happy skiing!

Pauline Kneller

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