Still Some Snow in the Forecast

Posted Saturday, March 2nd, 2019 by Tyler West

TLDR:  3-5” more by tomorrow morning with another 2-4” during the day tomorrow for Salt Lake resorts, with less at Ogden resorts and a bit more in Southern Utah.  Then a break Mon – Wed with a possible storm late Wed – Sat.

Tonight:  Storm totals during the day today range from 2-3” across most resorts.  Precipitation from an area of low pressure currently over California that Alex mentioned is now covering large portions of the state but is more sparse north of Ogden.  Between now and tomorrow morning we should see another 3-5” for Salt Lake, Park City, and Provo resorts with 1-3” for Ogden area resorts and Tr-1” for Beaver Mountain.  See below for the newly improved downscaled SREF ensemble guidance for Alta.  Read Professor Jim Steenburgh’s recent post on these improvements courtesy of one of our USW forecasters, Mike Wessler.   http://wasatchweatherweenies.blogspot.com/2019/02/new-sref-snow-products-and-diagrams.html?m=1

SREF Downscaled Ensemble Model Guidance for Alta, Collins. Courtesy of http://weather.utah.edu/index.php?runcode=2019030215&t=sref&d=PL&r=CLN
SREF Downscaled Ensemble Model Guidance for Alta, Collins. Courtesy of http://weather.utah.edu/index.php?runcode=2019030215&t=sref&d=PL&r=CLN

Brian Head snow totals will be tricky as the precipitation in their area is more convective, meaning heavy snow if the cell is over you and not so much if it misses. I expect another 3-7” for Brian Head and Eagle Point through tomorrow morning and none after that.

Tomorrow and Beyond:  Northern Utah will see a weak frontal boundary move through the area tomorrow during the afternoon with another 2-4” for areas south of I-80 and 1-2” for the Ogden resorts.  After that it will be quiet until Wed afternoon when another storm is forecast to arrive.  This next storm will also be associated with a relatively moist and  warm low to our southwest.  This means rain in the valley and snow levels fluctuating in the 6,000 to 7,500 ft range…though it’s still pretty early so check back for updates.

-Tyler

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