Waiting…

Posted Wednesday, February 12th, 2020 by Trent S. Parker
Current Webcam from Snowbird.com showing some fat flakes falling.

TL;DR: Currently snowing in the Cottonwoods with an inch or two picked up since yesterday. Continued NW flow until a quick warmup Thursday into Friday before this weekend’s storm moves in with moderate-significant accumulation possible through Presidents’ Day.

Short-Term: It’s been a cloudy and snowy Wednesday with moisture and some instability within the 700-800mb levels. Clouds and associated light snow should persist through Thursday morning before clearing leaving us with what looks to be a perfect afternoon and Friday morning. Temperatures should remain comfortable up on the hill and winds shouldn’t be an issue until Friday night.

WRF-NMM via Tropical Tidbits through Friday afternoon showing warming and clearing at crest-height associated with the passing upper-level shortwave ridge through Thursday and Friday morning before things start to get interesting.

Long-Term: Lots of uncertainty in the timing and amounts associated with this weekend’s storm so I really won’t even go into it. I’ll leave that to the succeeding forecasters that will have a better shot at nailing down the details. Something to keep in mind as you’re planning for this weekend is the IKON blackout dates associated with the holiday.

NAEFS giving an idea of what we can expect through Monday. Spread is pretty wide in what models are giving us right now, but nonetheless, something to look forward to as we get closer.
The SREF from weather.utah.edu only just starting to pick up the time frame of the incoming storm system, timing from various members are varying greatly so far. Forecasting what will come for Monday should start to become more transparent on Friday.
Center for Western Weather and Water extremes NCEP GFS vertical transport lining us up for a wet weekend along most of the North-Western quadrant of the U.S..

Thanks for reading, enjoy the skiing.

-Trent S. Parker

Author: Trent S. Parker

Mainer, busybody skier-rider, and undergrad Atmospheric Sciences at the U. Fascinated by all things fluid dynamics and snow.

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